Thursday, August 5, 2010

The Chances of Survival for Clubs Promoted to the Premier League

by Paul Yarden on 08/03/10
Blackpool were promoted to the Premier League for season 2010-11
What are the chances of survival for clubs newly promoted to the Premier League?
If past performances are anything to go by, slightly more than half the newly promoted clubs will survive their first season in the Premier League. Of the 50 clubs promoted since the advent of the Premier League in season 1992-93, 26 of them have lived to fight another season in the Top Flight of English football.
There has been only once instance of all three promoted clubs being relegated the next season. That was in season 1997-98 when Bolton Wanderers, Barnsley and Crystal Palace finished in the bottom three places after having been promoted the previous season.
By contrast, there has also only been one season when the three promoted clubs all survived their first season in the Premier League. Season 2001-02 saw Blackburn Rovers finish in 10th place, Fulham finish in 13th place and Bolton Wanderers finish in 16th place.
The best performance from a newly promoted club was in season 1993-94 when Newcastle United finished in third place and also in 1994-95 when Nottingham Forest finished third. Ipswich Town managed a fifth place finish in 2000-01.
There have been a total of 12 Top Ten finishes for newly promoted clubs to the Premier League, the most recent being Birmingham City's 9th place finish in season 2009-10.
Here are the finishing positions of every newly promoted club in the Premier League from season 1993-94 to 2009-10. Teams in red were relegated:

1993-1994 Pos
NEWCASTLE UTD 3
WEST HAM UTD 13
SWINDON TOWN 22

1994-1995 Pos
CRYSTAL PAL 19
NOTTM FOREST 3
LEICESTER CITY 21

1995-1996 Pos
BOLTON WAND 20
MIDDLESBROUGH 12

1996-1997 Pos
DERBY COUNTY 12
SUNDERLAND 18
LEICESTER CITY 9

1997-1998 Pos
BOLTON WAND 18
BARNSLEY 19
CRYSTAL PAL 20

1998-1999 Pos
NOTTM FOREST 20
MIDDLESBROUGH 9
CHARLTON ATH 18

1999-2000 Pos
SUNDERLAND 7
BRADFORD CITY 17
WATFORD 20

2000-2001 Pos
CHARLTON ATH 9
IPSWICH TOWN 5
MAN CITY 18

2001-2002 Pos
FULHAM 13
BLACKBURN ROV  10
BOLTON WAND 16

2002-2003 Pos
MAN CITY 9
BIRMINGHAM C 13
WEST BROM ALB 19

2003-2004 Pos
PORTSMOUTH 13
LEICESTER CITY 18
WOLVES 20

2004-2005 Pos
NORWICH CITY 19
WEST BROM ALB 17
CRYSTAL PAL 18

2005-2006 Pos
SUNDERLAND 20
WIGAN ATHLETIC 10
WEST HAM UTD 9

2006-2007 Pos
READING 8
SHEFF UNITED 18
WATFORD 20

2007-2008 Pos
SUNDERLAND 15
BIRMINGHAM C 19
DERBY COUNTY 20

2008-2009 Pos
WEST BROM ALB 20
STOKE CITY 12
HULL CITY 17

2009-2010 Pos
WOLVES 15
BIRMINGHAM C 9
BURNLEY 18

2010-2011
NEWCASTLE UTD
WEST BROM ALB
BLACKPOOL
Full details of the finishing positions in the Premier League from season 1992-93 to 2009-10 available here:
http://www.myfootballfacts.com/PREMIER-LEAGUE-LADDERS-1992-2010.html

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